RaceChat AI

Stats & trends

Stats

Where the money is going today, which of today's runners fit patterns that have beaten the prices, and a pattern finder over every result since January 2025.

Market movers today

First price we saw → latest before the off · 90 runners tracked (first price ≤ 34.0)
How movers have done since we started logging prices settled runners · £1 at BSP, 5% commission
Steamed 20%+20.9%1074 runs · ROI -4.6%
Shortened 5–20%18.9%1328 runs · ROI +6.3%
Steady (±5%)14.0%1014 runs · ROI -7.3%
Drifted 5–25%11.5%1611 runs · ROI -7.3%
Drifted 25%+9.0%2254 runs · ROI +6.2%

Our price history only goes back to late September 2026, so these samples are small — they'll firm up as the days add up.

Today's pattern qualifiers

Runners matching 2 or more patterns that have beaten their prices in both halves of their history · locked at 10:00
Today0qualifiers
Live record14.7%20 won from 136 · ROI +12.3%
Back-test15.9%232 picks · ROI +36.6% · top 3 40%
Today's qualifiers are worked out and locked at 10:00.

How this works. Every morning we scan 10 families of patterns, such as a trainer's record at the course, a trainer and jockey together, or a trainer's runners after this length of break. A pattern counts only if it won clearly more often than its prices implied (A/E 1.25+, at least 4 wins) in both the earlier and the later half of its history. Tested month by month on July to September 2026, using only patterns known before each month, runners matching 2 or more won 15.9% and returned +36.6% at BSP after commission. That is 232 picks at about 3.2 a day, with one losing month in three and much of the profit from big-priced winners, so treat it as promising, not proven. The live record above counts every qualifier since we started locking them, winners and losers.

Top 15 sires running today

Sires with a runner today and at least 5 past runs · record since January 2025
Rank by Strike rate ROI
#SireStrikeWins / runsPlacedA/EROI at SPRunning today
1 Protectionist
22.2%
16 / 72 48.6% 1.60 +54.0% Power of Prayer 16:24 Leicester
2 Magneticjim
21.1%
8 / 38 44.7% 1.18 -14.3% Kidam Roque 14:45 Galway
3 Bayside Boy
18.7%
20 / 107 40.2% 1.35 -7.8% Windmill 13:07 LeicesterSerenity Bay 14:07 Leicester
4 Night Of Thunder
17.5%
147 / 841 39.8% 1.12 -17.8% Arctic Force 12:25 RedcarThunder Roar 14:25 RedcarLittle Tiger 14:39 LeicesterValor's Call 19:00 Southwell (AW)
5 The Grey Gatsby
18.4%
18 / 98 41.8% 1.32 +52.8% Prettylady 14:52 HerefordIndian Mary 19:15 Kempton (AW)
6 Zarak
17.5%
45 / 257 41.2% 1.12 -11.9% Sharkeyboy 13:42 GalwaySailor Song 18:15 Kempton (AW)
7 Frankel
17.1%
153 / 896 43.2% 1.05 -21.8% Idealise 16:45 Kempton (AW)Hatta Romance 17:30 Southwell (AW)Fight Your Corner 18:45 Kempton (AW)Darkwing 19:00 Southwell (AW)
8 King Of Change
18.3%
15 / 82 35.4% 1.51 +33.6% Lady Roxby 19:30 Southwell (AW)
9 Nom De D'La
20.7%
6 / 29 48.3% 0.98 -55.4% Kentucky Beach 13:30 Wexford
10 Hunter's Light
18.5%
12 / 65 47.7% 1.19 -21.0% Jez Bomb 14:25 Redcar
11 Masked Marvel
17.0%
58 / 342 45.0% 0.97 -24.6% Madame Masque 15:55 Galway
12 Pether's Moon
17.0%
31 / 182 31.9% 1.35 +13.2% Mavis Pike 14:52 Hereford
13 Galiway
16.6%
32 / 193 44.6% 1.23 -8.4% Electric Gambler 20:15 Kempton (AW)
14 Passing Glance
16.0%
62 / 387 44.2% 1.11 -32.0% Gallus Millie 13:55 RedcarGraceful Glance 15:27 Hereford
15 Harzand
16.0%
45 / 281 37.7% 1.21 -22.5% Give It A Crack 14:12 GalwayZanoosh 15:40 Wexford

Ranked by strike rate, with small samples pulled towards the average (10.9% for all runners) so a sire with 2 wins from 5 doesn't outrank a proven one. A/E above 1.00 means the sire's runners won more often than their prices implied.

Pattern finder

Any factor, or any two together: trainers, jockeys, sires, courses, going, trip, draw and more · every settled UK & Irish runner since January 2025
Sire · 356 patterns · 3 with medium or high confidence · 212 with a runner today
⤓ CSV

Pedigree: the horse’s father.

SireWinsRunsStrikePlaced A/EROI ▾ Earlier → later
All runners (baseline)13,098120,115 10.9%32.6%1.00-26.2%
Saddler Maker Unproven 13 87
14.9%
36.8% 1.51 +88.4% 1.60→1.48
U S Navy Flag Unproven 27 277
9.7%
30.7% 1.22 +82.5% 1.45→1.17
Hot Streak Unproven 9 70
12.9%
42.9% 1.37 +69.1% 1.38→1.37
Harbour Watch Unproven 8 61
13.1%
24.6% 1.77 +63.1% 0.00→2.13
Frontiersman Unproven 24 192
12.5%
33.9% 1.14 +55.1% 1.48→1.06
Protectionist Medium 16 72
22.2%
48.6% 1.60 +54.0% 1.77→1.55
The Grey Gatsby Unproven 18 98
18.4%
41.8% 1.32 +52.8% 0.65→1.52
Masterstroke Unproven 16 117
13.7%
36.8% 1.14 +46.7% 1.87→0.96
Pastoral Pursuits Unproven 7 67
10.4%
38.8% 1.37 +44.5% 0.00→1.64
Telescope 44 466
9.4%
27.5% 1.01 +41.8% 0.57→1.19
King Of Change Unproven 15 82
18.3%
35.4% 1.51 +33.6% 2.29→1.39
Jack Hobbs 48 418
11.5%
27.0% 1.09 +31.4% 0.69→1.21
Estidhkaar Unproven 18 172
10.5%
25.0% 1.31 +26.8% 0.69→1.48
Slade Power Unproven 8 72
11.1%
33.3% 1.13 +25.8% 2.06→0.78
Muhaarar Unproven 51 448
11.4%
33.0% 1.15 +25.5% 1.19→1.14
Blackbeard Unproven 20 131
15.3%
38.9% 1.19 +23.2% —→1.19
Roaring Lion Unproven 14 119
11.8%
31.9% 1.27 +21.2% 0.70→1.35
Karaktar Unproven 18 98
18.4%
48.0% 1.13 +19.7% 0.61→1.26
Imperial Monarch Unproven 15 127
11.8%
23.6% 1.35 +16.4% 0.78→1.53
Victor Ludorum Unproven 12 96
12.5%
30.2% 1.38 +14.3% 0.00→1.82
Pether's Moon Unproven 31 182
17.0%
31.9% 1.35 +13.2% 1.44→1.32
Morpheus Unproven 8 65
12.3%
33.8% 1.38 +11.2% 0.70→1.60
Persian King Unproven 27 185
14.6%
39.5% 1.11 +9.0% 0.78→1.20
Exceed And Excel 22 215
10.2%
23.7% 0.99 +8.6% 0.48→1.11
Alhebayeb Unproven 15 113
13.3%
27.4% 1.48 +6.9% 0.94→1.62
It's Gino 19 124
15.3%
46.0% 0.93 +6.8% 1.19→0.89
Ribchester 34 396
8.6%
24.0% 1.06 +6.6% 2.18→0.80
Cable Bay Unproven 51 446
11.4%
30.9% 1.22 +5.9% 1.37→1.19
Sands Of Mali 39 332
11.7%
34.0% 1.04 +4.8% 1.25→0.99
Swiss Spirit 9 124
7.3%
23.4% 0.92 +4.1% 1.20→0.90
Harry Angel Medium 96 694
13.8%
36.6% 1.22 +3.5% 1.26→1.21
Muhtathir Unproven 23 110
20.9%
50.9% 1.19 +2.9% 1.40→1.10
Requinto 7 83
8.4%
33.7% 1.00 +2.8% 1.06→0.99
Justify Unproven 18 95
18.9%
40.0% 1.24 +2.6% 1.30→1.22
Sea The Moon Unproven 105 733
14.3%
35.2% 1.18 +2.4% 1.17→1.18
Soldier Hollow Unproven 12 73
16.4%
30.1% 1.37 +2.4% 2.16→1.08
Far Above 31 299
10.4%
28.4% 1.09 +1.0% 1.41→1.04
Sulamani Unproven 9 69
13.0%
37.7% 1.39 +0.4% 1.23→1.45
Well Chosen Unproven 19 135
14.1%
36.3% 1.39 +0.3% 0.63→1.62
Calyx 58 470
12.3%
37.0% 1.10 +0.1% 1.30→1.05
Dubawi Unproven 116 606
19.1%
47.0% 1.13 -0.1% 1.03→1.14
Notnowcato Unproven 16 105
15.2%
39.0% 1.18 -0.4% 0.92→1.30
Helmet Unproven 9 82
11.0%
29.3% 1.18 -0.6% 2.70→0.81
Sixties Icon Unproven 42 333
12.6%
34.2% 1.17 -1.3% 1.20→1.16
Jet Away 65 696
9.3%
29.7% 0.91 -1.7% 1.01→0.88
Zoffany 32 306
10.5%
34.0% 1.03 -1.8% 0.99→1.04
Dragon Dancer Unproven 20 143
14.0%
42.0% 1.23 -2.5% 0.35→1.42
Dartmouth Medium 28 184
15.2%
30.4% 1.43 -3.5% 1.86→1.29
Ubettabelieveit Unproven 33 328
10.1%
29.0% 1.11 -3.6% 1.17→1.10
Alkaadhem Unproven 7 50
14.0%
28.0% 1.33 -3.7% 1.22→1.38
Caravaggio Unproven 28 189
14.8%
34.9% 1.38 -3.8% 2.76→1.12
Galileo Gold 44 414
10.6%
34.5% 1.09 -3.9% 1.26→1.05
Hillstar Unproven 24 254
9.4%
21.7% 1.39 -4.2% 2.14→1.21
Expert Eye 56 482
11.6%
33.0% 1.10 -4.6% 1.31→1.05
Califet Unproven 45 384
11.7%
31.3% 1.11 -4.7% 1.06→1.12
Sottsass Unproven 38 267
14.2%
32.2% 1.33 -4.9% 1.42→1.30
Mastercraftsman Unproven 59 487
12.1%
31.0% 1.20 -5.0% 0.92→1.27
Lawman Unproven 12 99
12.1%
26.3% 1.52 -5.2% 0.58→1.78
Dawn Approach Unproven 18 227
7.9%
24.2% 1.14 -5.3% 0.57→1.31
Kalanisi Unproven 24 161
14.9%
35.4% 1.39 -5.3% 1.41→1.38

Showing the top 60 of 356. Show up to 500, or download the CSV for all of them.

How to read this. Strike = winners ÷ runs. A/E = actual winners ÷ the winners their SPs implied, so above 1.00 means the group beat the market's expectations. ROI = profit per £1 staked at SP. Earlier → later splits the pattern's history in two (at 7 Dec 2025) and shows the A/E in each half: a real edge shows up in both, a lucky streak usually in one. Confidence (the tag beside a pattern's name; choose "Confidence" under Sort by to rank on it) is High or Medium only when the whole sample beats its prices by more than luck normally gives and both halves do too. "Unproven" means ahead so far but not by enough. "Avoid" means it lost to its prices in both halves. Today's runners that fit a pattern are listed under its name, with their current price. Click ▸ on any row for its quarter-by-quarter trend, breakdowns and latest runs. Search across enough patterns and a few will look good by chance, which is exactly what the two-half check is for. Updated 00:41.